One strike, and you are out

May 3, 2017

Fencing

Unfolding news stories.  President Trump celebrates his first hundred days in office. He says there is a chance we have a major major conflict with North Korea. His words. The Doomsday clock clicks  closer to zero

A republican Governor tells the BBC that Trump would be advised to stop mere saber-rattling and take more direct actions to remove Kim Jong-un. He admitted he didn’t know what the steps might be, but there would be very bright guys in the Military who would.

A plausible theory is that President Trump is following the rule book about getting a good deal, say on a used car. Talk tough, kick a tyre disparagingly, and ask for more than you expect to get.

The threat of global annihilation puts in the shade the General Election campaign in the UK. It has been called by the Government to obtain a renewed mandate for its upcoming negotiations with the EU. The Government has an overwhelming lead in the opinion polls, and the PM has settled for a a rope-a-dope strategy against the unpopular opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn, designed to allow him to defeat himself. The strategy involves minimum risk of making Mrs May look anything but a strong leader. She is well-programmed to avoid policy commitments and stick two small number of sound bites about needing a huge majority to avoid the chaos if Corbin becomes Prime Minister. The likelihood of that is low, odds on it are roughly thirty to one against.

Mr Corbyn helpfully provides policies that often have appeal for their social progressiveness but too easily trashed as unworkable and financially implausible. He avoids traps clumsily on nuclear defense, a major Labour backer is reported as willing to stand against him if the local elections beginning this week are as bad as predicted.

The architect of the government’s success was the voter switch to UKIP, which is now being deserted according to those polls, giving the Government even greater prospects of electoral success.

Nevertheless, UKIP candidates are proving themselves independent souls. One Scottish Ukipper announces she is standing on a platform of re-opening public toilets, abolishing golf courses, and reintroducing the death penalty in a humane way, possibly using a guillotine.

It is not clear if a pre-emotive strike strategy helps the cause of world peace, when you are trying to stop a nuclear war, rather than trying to get a best price for a second-hand car.


Trump’s first Katrina moment

March 15, 2017
Political-polls

[from myspace-polls.com]

As a great snow storm threatens America’s heartlands, the President considers an appropriate leadership response.His briefing team has supplied him with a range of options
Option 1
say all news of the storm is false and show photograph of President enjoying sun on beach in Miami

donad-trump
Option 2
make snow disappear, bigly, from a helicopter
Option 3
find snowed-in family and rescue them single-handed from husky-sled with Trump-branded merchandise
Westie
Option 4
increase tweet rate commensurate with seriousness of storm
Winter of discontent
Option 5
release the best tax payment year document
What not to do
When Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans with devastating effect, in February 2006, President Bush showed he cared by flying over the region. He was criticized for failing to show enough empathy. The image of the POTUS, safe and smug overflying the disaster zone,  turned out to be a PR personal mini-disaster.
He had been slow in postponing his holiday in Texas, and he and his administration were accused of politicizing the storm in a region with a Democratic governor.

The event was later referred to as a watershed in his leadership ratings, and his missed opportunity to show respond adequately in person, and subsequently in taking decisive action.
Defying the snowflakes
Leadership is often symbolic. Mr Trump has an opportunity to show his undoubted flair for the immediate big gesture. to defy a billion snowflakes.